Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日の台北の最高気温は?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$54,007 Vol.
$54,007 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$54,007 Vol.
$54,007 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問