**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event. Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 9?
31°C 44%
30°C 38%
32°C 16%
29°C 3.3%
新規
新規
2026/07/09
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
38%
31°C
44%
32°C
16%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 38%
32°C 16%
29°C 3.3%
新規
新規
2026/07/09
27°C or below
$398 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$167 Vol.
1%
29°C
$84 Vol.
3%
30°C
$140 Vol.
38%
31°C
$99 Vol.
44%
32°C
$209 Vol.
16%
33°C
$265 Vol.
1%
34°C
$291 Vol.
1%
35°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event.
Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$2,064終了日
2026/07/09マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event.
Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,064終了日
2026/07/09マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event. Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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