Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月26日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
23°C 44%
22°C 36%
24°C 17%
21°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
36%
23°C
44%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
22°C 36%
24°C 17%
21°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
17°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$267 Vol.
2%
21°C
$267 Vol.
6%
22°C
$213 Vol.
36%
23°C
$215 Vol.
44%
24°C
$682 Vol.
17%
25°C
$264 Vol.
3%
26°C
$226 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$2,584終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,584終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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