Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential weak frontal passages that could produce lows near 10–14°C or dip cooler under clearer skies. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 12–13°C but with tails extending below 8°C or above 15°C, aligning with the market's near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city places typical minima around 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on the next 48-hour updates to radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月25日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
12°C 26%
9°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
6°C or below
9%
7°C
9%
8°C
13%
9°C
18%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
26%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
12°C 26%
9°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
6°C or below
$141 Vol.
9%
7°C
$30 Vol.
9%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential weak frontal passages that could produce lows near 10–14°C or dip cooler under clearer skies. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 12–13°C but with tails extending below 8°C or above 15°C, aligning with the market's near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city places typical minima around 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on the next 48-hour updates to radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$311終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential weak frontal passages that could produce lows near 10–14°C or dip cooler under clearer skies. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 12–13°C but with tails extending below 8°C or above 15°C, aligning with the market's near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city places typical minima around 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on the next 48-hour updates to radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$311終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential weak frontal passages that could produce lows near 10–14°C or dip cooler under clearer skies. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 12–13°C but with tails extending below 8°C or above 15°C, aligning with the market's near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city places typical minima around 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on the next 48-hour updates to radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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