Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating. This pattern follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions reflecting a stable anticyclonic setup and light winds around 10–15 km/h. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 24°C and 34% for 23°C, aligns closely with this guidance from sources like Météo-France analogs and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ capture residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. New model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパリの最高気温は？
8月23日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 49%
23°C 34%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
34%
24°C
49%
25°C
10%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 34%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
20°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$145 Vol.
7%
23°C
$52 Vol.
34%
24°C
$315 Vol.
49%
25°C
$87 Vol.
10%
26°C
$39 Vol.
6%
27°C
$23 Vol.
3%
28°C
$33 Vol.
1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating. This pattern follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions reflecting a stable anticyclonic setup and light winds around 10–15 km/h. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 24°C and 34% for 23°C, aligns closely with this guidance from sources like Météo-France analogs and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ capture residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. New model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$927終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating. This pattern follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions reflecting a stable anticyclonic setup and light winds around 10–15 km/h. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 24°C and 34% for 23°C, aligns closely with this guidance from sources like Météo-France analogs and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ capture residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. New model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$927終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating. This pattern follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions reflecting a stable anticyclonic setup and light winds around 10–15 km/h. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 24°C and 34% for 23°C, aligns closely with this guidance from sources like Météo-France analogs and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ capture residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. New model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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