Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is moderating Manila temperatures ahead of August 21, with PAGASA forecasts showing highs of 31–32 °C and 40–70% rain chances under cloudy, humid conditions. These factors suppress peak heating compared with clearer-sky baselines, keeping the daily maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 30–31 °C at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Recent model runs and observational trends favor 31–32 °C resolution, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and convective timing. New PAGASA updates tomorrow will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月21日のマニラの最高気温は？
32℃ 38%
31°C 38%
33°C 17%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
38%
32℃
38%
33°C
17%
34℃
2%
35°C
1%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 38%
31°C 38%
33°C 17%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
26°C以下
$166 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$316 Vol.
1%
28℃
$49 Vol.
1%
29℃
$45 Vol.
3%
30°C
$183 Vol.
6%
31°C
$338 Vol.
38%
32℃
$166 Vol.
38%
33°C
$219 Vol.
17%
34℃
$136 Vol.
2%
35°C
$44 Vol.
1%
36℃以上
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is moderating Manila temperatures ahead of August 21, with PAGASA forecasts showing highs of 31–32 °C and 40–70% rain chances under cloudy, humid conditions. These factors suppress peak heating compared with clearer-sky baselines, keeping the daily maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 30–31 °C at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Recent model runs and observational trends favor 31–32 °C resolution, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and convective timing. New PAGASA updates tomorrow will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$1,725終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is moderating Manila temperatures ahead of August 21, with PAGASA forecasts showing highs of 31–32 °C and 40–70% rain chances under cloudy, humid conditions. These factors suppress peak heating compared with clearer-sky baselines, keeping the daily maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 30–31 °C at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Recent model runs and observational trends favor 31–32 °C resolution, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and convective timing. New PAGASA updates tomorrow will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,725終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is moderating Manila temperatures ahead of August 21, with PAGASA forecasts showing highs of 31–32 °C and 40–70% rain chances under cloudy, humid conditions. These factors suppress peak heating compared with clearer-sky baselines, keeping the daily maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 30–31 °C at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Recent model runs and observational trends favor 31–32 °C resolution, with the tight market split between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and convective timing. New PAGASA updates tomorrow will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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