Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs range 27–29°C and daily variability typically stays within 2–3°C absent major frontal systems or heat advection. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting agreement across ensemble runs while acknowledging minor spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects; no significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter these probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts expected over the next day will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月21日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
27°C 49%
26°C 26%
28°C 20%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
20%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 26%
28°C 20%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$219 Vol.
26%
27°C
$27 Vol.
49%
28°C
$15 Vol.
20%
29°C
$56 Vol.
6%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs range 27–29°C and daily variability typically stays within 2–3°C absent major frontal systems or heat advection. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting agreement across ensemble runs while acknowledging minor spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects; no significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter these probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts expected over the next day will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$466終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs range 27–29°C and daily variability typically stays within 2–3°C absent major frontal systems or heat advection. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting agreement across ensemble runs while acknowledging minor spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects; no significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter these probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts expected over the next day will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$466終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs range 27–29°C and daily variability typically stays within 2–3°C absent major frontal systems or heat advection. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting agreement across ensemble runs while acknowledging minor spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects; no significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter these probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts expected over the next day will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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