Current forecasts from agencies like the BBC and UK Met Office point to a daily high of 35°C in Wuhan on August 21, 2026, with light rain and gentle northeasterly winds under a stable subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with August climatology of typical highs between 32–36°C driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that allows peak solar heating while afternoon convection may temper extremes. Market odds cluster tightly on 34–36°C because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns or moisture anomalies, with limited upside for 37°C+ absent stronger ridging and no strong signals for cooler 33°C conditions from increased rainfall. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の武漢の最高気温は?
35°C 37%
36°C 34%
34°C 19%
37°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
37%
36°C
34%
37°C
11%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 37%
36°C 34%
34°C 19%
37°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
37%
36°C
34%
37°C
11%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies like the BBC and UK Met Office point to a daily high of 35°C in Wuhan on August 21, 2026, with light rain and gentle northeasterly winds under a stable subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with August climatology of typical highs between 32–36°C driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that allows peak solar heating while afternoon convection may temper extremes. Market odds cluster tightly on 34–36°C because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns or moisture anomalies, with limited upside for 37°C+ absent stronger ridging and no strong signals for cooler 33°C conditions from increased rainfall. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問