Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts, shaped by persistent North Pacific High influence, position 31–33°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 19, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (39.5%) to exactly 32°C. Short-range models show mostly cloudy skies, a daytime maximum near 33°C, and overnight lows around 24°C, consistent with late-August climatology where sea breezes and humidity moderate peaks near the southeastern coast. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any passing showers accounts for the tight clustering between 31°C and 33°C, while probabilities fall sharply outside this range. Updated KMA briefings and regional ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の釜山の最高気温は?
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
41%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35℃以上
2%
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
41%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35℃以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts, shaped by persistent North Pacific High influence, position 31–33°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 19, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (39.5%) to exactly 32°C. Short-range models show mostly cloudy skies, a daytime maximum near 33°C, and overnight lows around 24°C, consistent with late-August climatology where sea breezes and humidity moderate peaks near the southeastern coast. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any passing showers accounts for the tight clustering between 31°C and 33°C, while probabilities fall sharply outside this range. Updated KMA briefings and regional ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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