Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の深センの最高気温は?
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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