Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C in Toronto on August 15, with lows near 20°C, amid typical late-summer conditions influenced by regional high pressure. Market-implied odds favor 25–26°C, however, highlighting uncertainty in short-range model runs from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre, where slight shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could trim daytime maxima. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, and recent post-heat-wave cooling across southern Ontario has traders weighting variability in surface observations and ensemble guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Toronto Pearson or downtown stations, with updated model outputs expected overnight to refine the outlook before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のトロントの最高気温は?
26°C 43%
25°C 36%
24°C 12%
27°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
36%
26°C
43%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 36%
24°C 12%
27°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
36%
26°C
43%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C in Toronto on August 15, with lows near 20°C, amid typical late-summer conditions influenced by regional high pressure. Market-implied odds favor 25–26°C, however, highlighting uncertainty in short-range model runs from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre, where slight shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could trim daytime maxima. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, and recent post-heat-wave cooling across southern Ontario has traders weighting variability in surface observations and ensemble guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Toronto Pearson or downtown stations, with updated model outputs expected overnight to refine the outlook before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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