Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to mild winter conditions in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, with daytime highs likely peaking near 24°C under a subtropical high-pressure system, moderate humidity, and variable Atlantic winds that limit strong solar heating. This setup explains the market's concentration of probability around 22–25°C outcomes, while model divergence on the timing and intensity of any passing cold front creates the spread across those bins. Climatological norms for mid-August support this range, with historical averages near 23–25°C, though stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings higher and weaker pressure gradients or increased cloud cover could cap them lower. Official observations from INMET or airport stations will resolve the market based on the recorded daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
24°C 47%
25°C 17%
22°C 15.7%
23°C 16%
$29,438 Vol.
$29,438 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 17%
22°C 15.7%
23°C 16%
$29,438 Vol.
$29,438 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to mild winter conditions in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, with daytime highs likely peaking near 24°C under a subtropical high-pressure system, moderate humidity, and variable Atlantic winds that limit strong solar heating. This setup explains the market's concentration of probability around 22–25°C outcomes, while model divergence on the timing and intensity of any passing cold front creates the spread across those bins. Climatological norms for mid-August support this range, with historical averages near 23–25°C, though stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings higher and weaker pressure gradients or increased cloud cover could cap them lower. Official observations from INMET or airport stations will resolve the market based on the recorded daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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