Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate an overnight low of 79–81°F for Miami on August 17 under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by high humidity and proximity to the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, typically produces lows in this narrow band during mid-August, when climatological averages hover near 78–80°F. No frontal passages, tropical systems, or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter this regime through the resolution window. Consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the strong trader preference for the 78–81°F range while limiting probability mass below 78°F or above 82°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月17日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80～81°F 60%
78〜79°F 22%
82〜83°F 15%
76〜77°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
69°F以下
1%
70～71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
1%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
13%
78〜79°F
28%
80～81°F
54%
82〜83°F
15%
84～85°F
3%
86～87°F
1%
88°F以上
<1%
80～81°F 60%
78〜79°F 22%
82〜83°F 15%
76〜77°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
69°F以下
$286 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$11 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$205 Vol.
1%
74〜75°F
$47 Vol.
5%
76〜77°F
$19 Vol.
13%
78〜79°F
$13 Vol.
28%
80～81°F
$121 Vol.
54%
82〜83°F
$25 Vol.
15%
84～85°F
$336 Vol.
3%
86～87°F
$11 Vol.
1%
88°F以上
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate an overnight low of 79–81°F for Miami on August 17 under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by high humidity and proximity to the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, typically produces lows in this narrow band during mid-August, when climatological averages hover near 78–80°F. No frontal passages, tropical systems, or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter this regime through the resolution window. Consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the strong trader preference for the 78–81°F range while limiting probability mass below 78°F or above 82°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$1,350終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate an overnight low of 79–81°F for Miami on August 17 under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by high humidity and proximity to the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, typically produces lows in this narrow band during mid-August, when climatological averages hover near 78–80°F. No frontal passages, tropical systems, or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter this regime through the resolution window. Consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the strong trader preference for the 78–81°F range while limiting probability mass below 78°F or above 82°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,350終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate an overnight low of 79–81°F for Miami on August 17 under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by high humidity and proximity to the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, typically produces lows in this narrow band during mid-August, when climatological averages hover near 78–80°F. No frontal passages, tropical systems, or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter this regime through the resolution window. Consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the strong trader preference for the 78–81°F range while limiting probability mass below 78°F or above 82°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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