Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 17 amid a chance of showers and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Differences between these outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation and thickness of cloud decks, which can suppress peak insolation and surface heating by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show consensus on warm, humid air masses but diverge on convective initiation, introducing uncertainty typical of late-summer synoptic patterns. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August averages near 25–26°C while awaiting updated guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月17日のトロントの最高気温は？
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
42%
27°C
36%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
21°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$95 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$37 Vol.
8%
26°C
$135 Vol.
42%
27°C
$84 Vol.
36%
28°C
$37 Vol.
16%
29°C
$20 Vol.
4%
30°C
$37 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 17 amid a chance of showers and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Differences between these outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation and thickness of cloud decks, which can suppress peak insolation and surface heating by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show consensus on warm, humid air masses but diverge on convective initiation, introducing uncertainty typical of late-summer synoptic patterns. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August averages near 25–26°C while awaiting updated guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
音量
$597終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 17 amid a chance of showers and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Differences between these outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation and thickness of cloud decks, which can suppress peak insolation and surface heating by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show consensus on warm, humid air masses but diverge on convective initiation, introducing uncertainty typical of late-summer synoptic patterns. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August averages near 25–26°C while awaiting updated guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$597終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETForecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 17 amid a chance of showers and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Differences between these outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation and thickness of cloud decks, which can suppress peak insolation and surface heating by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show consensus on warm, humid air masses but diverge on convective initiation, introducing uncertainty typical of late-summer synoptic patterns. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August averages near 25–26°C while awaiting updated guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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