Latest numerical weather models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles project daytime highs in Mexico City near the August seasonal average of 24–25 °C on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. The city’s high-elevation basin location (roughly 2,240 m) consistently caps extreme heat, keeping daily maxima within a narrow 22–26 °C band during the rainy season. Recent atmospheric conditions show no strong warming anomalies or blocking patterns that would push temperatures outside this range. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to outcomes clustered around the long-term climatological norm, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26℃ 51%
25°C 20%
27℃ 16%
24℃ 12%
21°C以下
1%
22℃
1%
23°C
6%
24℃
12%
25°C
20%
26℃
51%
27℃
16%
28°C
3%
29℃
2%
30°C
1%
31°C以上
1%
26℃ 51%
25°C 20%
27℃ 16%
24℃ 12%
21°C以下
1%
22℃
1%
23°C
6%
24℃
12%
25°C
20%
26℃
51%
27℃
16%
28°C
3%
29℃
2%
30°C
1%
31°C以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles project daytime highs in Mexico City near the August seasonal average of 24–25 °C on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. The city’s high-elevation basin location (roughly 2,240 m) consistently caps extreme heat, keeping daily maxima within a narrow 22–26 °C band during the rainy season. Recent atmospheric conditions show no strong warming anomalies or blocking patterns that would push temperatures outside this range. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to outcomes clustered around the long-term climatological norm, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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