Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate Beijing's August 17 high will likely peak near 30–33°C amid typical late-summer conditions with moderating cloud cover and light showers possible. This positions 32°C as the market leader, reflecting the slight cooling trend from mid-August peaks and urban heat-island effects under stable high-pressure patterns. Latest model runs show limited variability, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C, though afternoon convection could trim the daily maximum. Traders are weighting these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations rather than longer-range projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の北京の最高気温は?
32°C 42%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
42%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
42%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate Beijing's August 17 high will likely peak near 30–33°C amid typical late-summer conditions with moderating cloud cover and light showers possible. This positions 32°C as the market leader, reflecting the slight cooling trend from mid-August peaks and urban heat-island effects under stable high-pressure patterns. Latest model runs show limited variability, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C, though afternoon convection could trim the daily maximum. Traders are weighting these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations rather than longer-range projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問