**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on the 66–69°F range (62% combined implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and model consensus.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with radiational cooling limited by dew points near 65–70°F and the urban heat island effect. Long-range outlooks, including the Climate Prediction Center’s forecast for below-average temperatures late in the month and Almanac guidance for cooler air arriving around August 21–31, support a modest dip relative to mid-August normals of ~67–69°F. Recent model runs show limited spread absent strong cold advection or marine influence, keeping extreme bins below 3% probability while clustering most outcomes near the historical baseline adjusted for current patterns. Key resolution data will come from official Central Park or LaGuardia observations on the morning of August 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
8月21日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
68～69°F 41%
66～67°F 24%
70〜71°F 14%
72～73°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
57°F以下
<1%
58〜59°F
1%
60〜61°F
4%
62〜63°F
7%
64〜65°F
8%
66～67°F
24%
68～69°F
41%
70〜71°F
14%
72～73°F
9%
74～75°F
6%
76°F以上
1%
68～69°F 41%
66～67°F 24%
70〜71°F 14%
72～73°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
57°F以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
58〜59°F
$10 Vol.
1%
60〜61°F
$15 Vol.
4%
62〜63°F
$51 Vol.
7%
64〜65°F
$77 Vol.
8%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
24%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
41%
70〜71°F
$66 Vol.
14%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
9%
74～75°F
$15 Vol.
6%
76°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on the 66–69°F range (62% combined implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and model consensus.**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with radiational cooling limited by dew points near 65–70°F and the urban heat island effect. Long-range outlooks, including the Climate Prediction Center’s forecast for below-average temperatures late in the month and Almanac guidance for cooler air arriving around August 21–31, support a modest dip relative to mid-August normals of ~67–69°F. Recent model runs show limited spread absent strong cold advection or marine influence, keeping extreme bins below 3% probability while clustering most outcomes near the historical baseline adjusted for current patterns. Key resolution data will come from official Central Park or LaGuardia observations on the morning of August 21.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$234終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on the 66–69°F range (62% combined implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and model consensus.**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with radiational cooling limited by dew points near 65–70°F and the urban heat island effect. Long-range outlooks, including the Climate Prediction Center’s forecast for below-average temperatures late in the month and Almanac guidance for cooler air arriving around August 21–31, support a modest dip relative to mid-August normals of ~67–69°F. Recent model runs show limited spread absent strong cold advection or marine influence, keeping extreme bins below 3% probability while clustering most outcomes near the historical baseline adjusted for current patterns. Key resolution data will come from official Central Park or LaGuardia observations on the morning of August 21.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$234終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on the 66–69°F range (62% combined implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and model consensus.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with radiational cooling limited by dew points near 65–70°F and the urban heat island effect. Long-range outlooks, including the Climate Prediction Center’s forecast for below-average temperatures late in the month and Almanac guidance for cooler air arriving around August 21–31, support a modest dip relative to mid-August normals of ~67–69°F. Recent model runs show limited spread absent strong cold advection or marine influence, keeping extreme bins below 3% probability while clustering most outcomes near the historical baseline adjusted for current patterns. Key resolution data will come from official Central Park or LaGuardia observations on the morning of August 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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