Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and low boundary-layer moisture, supports strong daytime heating and positions the daily maximum near 103–105°F at Dallas Love Field, aligning with the 51.5% market-implied probability on 104–105°F. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA favors this range, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms could briefly reduce insolation and shift readings toward the 21.5% 102–103°F bin. Ongoing heat-wave conditions, with prior highs of 104–107°F exceeding the August climatological average of 95–96°F, underpin the 19% odds on 106–107°F amid residual forecast spread. Updated morning model runs remain the key near-term catalyst ahead of official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月21日のダラスの最高気温は？
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 22%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 6.2%
新規
$19,754 Vol.
新規
$19,754 Vol.
2026/08/21
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 22%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 6.2%
新規
$19,754 Vol.
新規
$19,754 Vol.
2026/08/21
99°F or below
$6,733 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$3,419 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$1,449 Vol.
22%
104-105°F
$1,819 Vol.
52%
106-107°F
$2,600 Vol.
19%
108-109°F
$508 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$742 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$1,670 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$186 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and low boundary-layer moisture, supports strong daytime heating and positions the daily maximum near 103–105°F at Dallas Love Field, aligning with the 51.5% market-implied probability on 104–105°F. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA favors this range, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms could briefly reduce insolation and shift readings toward the 21.5% 102–103°F bin. Ongoing heat-wave conditions, with prior highs of 104–107°F exceeding the August climatological average of 95–96°F, underpin the 19% odds on 106–107°F amid residual forecast spread. Updated morning model runs remain the key near-term catalyst ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$19,754終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and low boundary-layer moisture, supports strong daytime heating and positions the daily maximum near 103–105°F at Dallas Love Field, aligning with the 51.5% market-implied probability on 104–105°F. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA favors this range, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms could briefly reduce insolation and shift readings toward the 21.5% 102–103°F bin. Ongoing heat-wave conditions, with prior highs of 104–107°F exceeding the August climatological average of 95–96°F, underpin the 19% odds on 106–107°F amid residual forecast spread. Updated morning model runs remain the key near-term catalyst ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$19,754終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and low boundary-layer moisture, supports strong daytime heating and positions the daily maximum near 103–105°F at Dallas Love Field, aligning with the 51.5% market-implied probability on 104–105°F. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA favors this range, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms could briefly reduce insolation and shift readings toward the 21.5% 102–103°F bin. Ongoing heat-wave conditions, with prior highs of 104–107°F exceeding the August climatological average of 95–96°F, underpin the 19% odds on 106–107°F amid residual forecast spread. Updated morning model runs remain the key near-term catalyst ahead of official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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