Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service place the highest temperature in New York City on August 22 in the mid-70s as a cooler air mass advects southward behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting southerly warm-air transport. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating, while stable high pressure maintains modest boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 74–77°F with minor spread arising from differences in simulated urban heat-island effects and low-level moisture. Traders are closely tracking the next model cycles and local office updates for any shifts in these thermodynamic and kinematic factors before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月22日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
82-83°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
82-83°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$13 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$11 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
44%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service place the highest temperature in New York City on August 22 in the mid-70s as a cooler air mass advects southward behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting southerly warm-air transport. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating, while stable high pressure maintains modest boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 74–77°F with minor spread arising from differences in simulated urban heat-island effects and low-level moisture. Traders are closely tracking the next model cycles and local office updates for any shifts in these thermodynamic and kinematic factors before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service place the highest temperature in New York City on August 22 in the mid-70s as a cooler air mass advects southward behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting southerly warm-air transport. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating, while stable high pressure maintains modest boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 74–77°F with minor spread arising from differences in simulated urban heat-island effects and low-level moisture. Traders are closely tracking the next model cycles and local office updates for any shifts in these thermodynamic and kinematic factors before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service place the highest temperature in New York City on August 22 in the mid-70s as a cooler air mass advects southward behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting southerly warm-air transport. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating, while stable high pressure maintains modest boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 74–77°F with minor spread arising from differences in simulated urban heat-island effects and low-level moisture. Traders are closely tracking the next model cycles and local office updates for any shifts in these thermodynamic and kinematic factors before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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