Recent National Weather Service and model guidance positions Dallas under strong high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds on August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 105–107°F amid an ongoing heat wave and extreme heat warning. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover and low thunderstorm chances that could otherwise cap the peak. Historical records show 107°F as the date’s all-time high, providing context for why traders assign lower probability to outcomes above 108°F while acknowledging small upside risk from model variability or delayed mixing. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the morning of the 22nd will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月22日のダラスの最高気温は？
104-105°F 49%
106-107°F 24%
102-103°F 19%
108-109°F 8%
新規
$15,182 Vol.
新規
$15,182 Vol.
2026/08/22
97°F or below
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
49%
106-107°F
24%
108-109°F
8%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 49%
106-107°F 24%
102-103°F 19%
108-109°F 8%
新規
$15,182 Vol.
新規
$15,182 Vol.
2026/08/22
97°F or below
$1,430 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$3,359 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$2,091 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$1,198 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$1,949 Vol.
49%
106-107°F
$3,283 Vol.
24%
108-109°F
$498 Vol.
8%
110-111°F
$557 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$393 Vol.
<1%
116°F or higher
$346 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance positions Dallas under strong high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds on August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 105–107°F amid an ongoing heat wave and extreme heat warning. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover and low thunderstorm chances that could otherwise cap the peak. Historical records show 107°F as the date’s all-time high, providing context for why traders assign lower probability to outcomes above 108°F while acknowledging small upside risk from model variability or delayed mixing. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the morning of the 22nd will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$15,182終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance positions Dallas under strong high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds on August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 105–107°F amid an ongoing heat wave and extreme heat warning. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover and low thunderstorm chances that could otherwise cap the peak. Historical records show 107°F as the date’s all-time high, providing context for why traders assign lower probability to outcomes above 108°F while acknowledging small upside risk from model variability or delayed mixing. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the morning of the 22nd will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,182終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance positions Dallas under strong high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds on August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 105–107°F amid an ongoing heat wave and extreme heat warning. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover and low thunderstorm chances that could otherwise cap the peak. Historical records show 107°F as the date’s all-time high, providing context for why traders assign lower probability to outcomes above 108°F while acknowledging small upside risk from model variability or delayed mixing. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the morning of the 22nd will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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