Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の深センの最高気温は?
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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