Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の香港の最低気温は?
25°C 100.0%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
31℃ <1%
$48,790 Vol.
$48,790 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
25°C 100.0%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
31℃ <1%
$48,790 Vol.
$48,790 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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