Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and NIWA points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs average 12–13°C, influenced by moderating high-pressure systems after recent cold southerly outbreaks. Model consensus emphasizes light winds and partial clearing that limit further cooling, while seasonal outlooks assign the highest probability to near-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations at the Wellington station, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover potentially adjusting the peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
15°C 56%
14°C 34%
16°C 7%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
34%
15°C
56%
16°C
7%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 34%
16°C 7%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
34%
15°C
56%
16°C
7%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and NIWA points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs average 12–13°C, influenced by moderating high-pressure systems after recent cold southerly outbreaks. Model consensus emphasizes light winds and partial clearing that limit further cooling, while seasonal outlooks assign the highest probability to near-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations at the Wellington station, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover potentially adjusting the peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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