Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
33°C 56%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
56%
34°C
21%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
56%
34°C
21%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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