Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問