Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 18 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 80–90% that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. These conditions align with a recent cooling trend after earlier August highs near 36°C and reflect typical mid-month steering patterns drawing moisture from the East China Sea. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but current atmospheric setup reduces odds of extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 30°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 38%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
25%
31°C
38%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
25%
31°C
38%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 18 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 80–90% that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. These conditions align with a recent cooling trend after earlier August highs near 36°C and reflect typical mid-month steering patterns drawing moisture from the East China Sea. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but current atmospheric setup reduces odds of extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 30°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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