Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to daytime maxima of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 20 under subtropical high pressure, with trader consensus split across those bins reflecting model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify surface warming, while steering patterns and monsoon influences keep steering clear of stronger tropical systems that could bring heavier rain and lower peaks. Recent runs show modest cooling potential if convection develops earlier than expected. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and updated guidance through the weekend will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の広州の最高気温は?
36°C 26%
35℃ 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 14%
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
2%
33℃
11%
34°C
14%
35℃
25%
36°C
26%
37°C
20%
38°C
11%
39°C以上
1%
36°C 26%
35℃ 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 14%
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
2%
33℃
11%
34°C
14%
35℃
25%
36°C
26%
37°C
20%
38°C
11%
39°C以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to daytime maxima of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 20 under subtropical high pressure, with trader consensus split across those bins reflecting model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify surface warming, while steering patterns and monsoon influences keep steering clear of stronger tropical systems that could bring heavier rain and lower peaks. Recent runs show modest cooling potential if convection develops earlier than expected. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and updated guidance through the weekend will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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