Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 22 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Daily highs have hovered near 33–35°C in preceding days amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70%, consistent with climatological averages that decline from mid-August peaks near 35°C. Model consensus emphasizes minimal intensification risks from regional pressure patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable baseline readings against short-term forecast updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の武漢の最高気温は?
35°C 41%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
23%
35°C
41%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
23%
35°C
41%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 22 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Daily highs have hovered near 33–35°C in preceding days amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70%, consistent with climatological averages that decline from mid-August peaks near 35°C. Model consensus emphasizes minimal intensification risks from regional pressure patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable baseline readings against short-term forecast updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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