Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のモスクワの最低気温は？
8月22日のモスクワの最低気温は？
6°C or below 59%
14°C 42%
12°C 41%
13°C 41%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
6°C or below
59%
7°C
25%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
29%
11°C
40%
12°C
41%
13°C
41%
14°C
42%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
38%
6°C or below 59%
14°C 42%
12°C 41%
13°C 41%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
6°C or below
$133 Vol.
59%
7°C
$58 Vol.
25%
8°C
$10 Vol.
40%
9°C
$10 Vol.
39%
10°C
$11 Vol.
29%
11°C
$11 Vol.
40%
12°C
$20 Vol.
41%
13°C
$10 Vol.
41%
14°C
$10 Vol.
42%
15°C
$10 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$80 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
音量
$363終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$363終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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