Trader consensus shows nearly equal implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on August 22, underscoring uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Primary drivers include the evolving position of a high-pressure ridge over European Russia, which promotes subsidence warming and clear skies favoring higher maxima, alongside minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and northerly advection that could cap readings at 22°C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits small spreads in predicted 2-meter temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and surface wind patterns. Official updates from meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月22日のモスクワの最高気温は？
22°C 40%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
40%
23°C
36%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
17°C or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$252 Vol.
4%
21°C
$393 Vol.
12%
22°C
$253 Vol.
40%
23°C
$438 Vol.
36%
24°C
$355 Vol.
7%
25°C
$292 Vol.
3%
26°C
$119 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows nearly equal implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on August 22, underscoring uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Primary drivers include the evolving position of a high-pressure ridge over European Russia, which promotes subsidence warming and clear skies favoring higher maxima, alongside minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and northerly advection that could cap readings at 22°C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits small spreads in predicted 2-meter temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and surface wind patterns. Official updates from meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$2,539終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows nearly equal implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on August 22, underscoring uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Primary drivers include the evolving position of a high-pressure ridge over European Russia, which promotes subsidence warming and clear skies favoring higher maxima, alongside minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and northerly advection that could cap readings at 22°C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits small spreads in predicted 2-meter temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and surface wind patterns. Official updates from meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,539終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows nearly equal implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on August 22, underscoring uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Primary drivers include the evolving position of a high-pressure ridge over European Russia, which promotes subsidence warming and clear skies favoring higher maxima, alongside minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and northerly advection that could cap readings at 22°C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits small spreads in predicted 2-meter temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and surface wind patterns. Official updates from meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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