Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate an overnight low near 26°C for Chongqing on August 22, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 24–28°C, aligning with current ensemble forecasts from agencies tracking subtropical summer patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for 26°C. Unanticipated heavy rainfall, increased humidity, or shifts in steering winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or model revisions might push it higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の重慶の最低気温は?
26°C 92%
25°C 2%
23°C 1%
24°C 1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
16%
26°C
92%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 92%
25°C 2%
23°C 1%
24°C 1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
16%
26°C
92%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate an overnight low near 26°C for Chongqing on August 22, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 24–28°C, aligning with current ensemble forecasts from agencies tracking subtropical summer patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for 26°C. Unanticipated heavy rainfall, increased humidity, or shifts in steering winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or model revisions might push it higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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