Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to possible overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing amid increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation ahead of August 23, supporting the market's elevated 46.5% implied probability for a low of 21°C or below. The city's Sichuan Basin topography and high humidity typically limit diurnal temperature drops, yet model runs show potential for lows near or below the 24–25°C August climatological average if monsoon moisture enhances overnight cloudiness. Historical analogs from similar late-August patterns indicate occasional dips to 22–23°C under weak steering flow, while consensus highs near 32–34°C align with the lower odds clustered around 24–30°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の重慶の最低気温は？
8月23日の重慶の最低気温は？
21°C or below 87%
30°C 51%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
21°C or below
87%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 87%
30°C 51%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
87%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to possible overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing amid increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation ahead of August 23, supporting the market's elevated 46.5% implied probability for a low of 21°C or below. The city's Sichuan Basin topography and high humidity typically limit diurnal temperature drops, yet model runs show potential for lows near or below the 24–25°C August climatological average if monsoon moisture enhances overnight cloudiness. Historical analogs from similar late-August patterns indicate occasional dips to 22–23°C under weak steering flow, while consensus highs near 32–34°C align with the lower odds clustered around 24–30°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$25終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to possible overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing amid increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation ahead of August 23, supporting the market's elevated 46.5% implied probability for a low of 21°C or below. The city's Sichuan Basin topography and high humidity typically limit diurnal temperature drops, yet model runs show potential for lows near or below the 24–25°C August climatological average if monsoon moisture enhances overnight cloudiness. Historical analogs from similar late-August patterns indicate occasional dips to 22–23°C under weak steering flow, while consensus highs near 32–34°C align with the lower odds clustered around 24–30°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$25終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to possible overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing amid increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation ahead of August 23, supporting the market's elevated 46.5% implied probability for a low of 21°C or below. The city's Sichuan Basin topography and high humidity typically limit diurnal temperature drops, yet model runs show potential for lows near or below the 24–25°C August climatological average if monsoon moisture enhances overnight cloudiness. Historical analogs from similar late-August patterns indicate occasional dips to 22–23°C under weak steering flow, while consensus highs near 32–34°C align with the lower odds clustered around 24–30°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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