Persistent subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's topography are anchoring the market's leading outcomes near 36–37°C for Chongqing's August 23 maximum. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for clear skies, intense solar heating, and limited overnight cooling from elevated humidity and weak winds, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs often reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, keeping 38°C or higher at lower implied probability while supporting the 36–37°C cluster as the most likely range. Traders are also monitoring any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 37%
36°C 26%
38°C or higher 24%
35°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
6%
35°C
9%
36°C
26%
37°C
37%
38°C or higher
24%
37°C 37%
36°C 26%
38°C or higher 24%
35°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
6%
35°C
9%
36°C
26%
37°C
37%
38°C or higher
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's topography are anchoring the market's leading outcomes near 36–37°C for Chongqing's August 23 maximum. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for clear skies, intense solar heating, and limited overnight cooling from elevated humidity and weak winds, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs often reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, keeping 38°C or higher at lower implied probability while supporting the 36–37°C cluster as the most likely range. Traders are also monitoring any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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