Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather currently project a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with some ensembles and historical August climatology (averaging near 32°C) supporting a narrower range centered on 32–33°C. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate real-time observational trends and model agreement on minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress highs. Resolution hinges on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements, which capture peak values amid the region’s typical late-summer diurnal warming pattern. Minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift probabilities between the top two bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のアンカラの最高気温は?
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather currently project a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with some ensembles and historical August climatology (averaging near 32°C) supporting a narrower range centered on 32–33°C. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate real-time observational trends and model agreement on minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress highs. Resolution hinges on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements, which capture peak values amid the region’s typical late-summer diurnal warming pattern. Minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift probabilities between the top two bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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