Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
102～103°F 49%
104～105°F 43%
100〜101°F 6%
106〜107°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
93°F以下
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96～97°F
1%
98〜99°F
2%
100〜101°F
6%
102～103°F
49%
104～105°F
43%
106〜107°F
6%
108～109°F
4%
110〜111°F
1%
112°F以上
1%
102～103°F 49%
104～105°F 43%
100〜101°F 6%
106〜107°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
93°F以下
$5 Vol.
<1%
94〜95°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
96～97°F
$165 Vol.
1%
98〜99°F
$11 Vol.
2%
100〜101°F
$5 Vol.
6%
102～103°F
$61 Vol.
49%
104～105°F
$170 Vol.
43%
106〜107°F
$5 Vol.
6%
108～109°F
$103 Vol.
4%
110〜111°F
$96 Vol.
1%
112°F以上
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
音量
$636終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$636終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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