Trader sentiment for Austin's August 19 high centers on National Weather Service and model consensus for a peak near 101°F amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and cloud cover. This setup favors the closely matched 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting typical mid-August Central Texas climatology where daily maxima often reach 96-100°F but recent dry, stable patterns have sustained readings above 100°F. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum within the 100-103°F range before official verification, while historical analogs show 104°F+ as less common without stronger advection. Updated model runs and any last-hour changes in humidity remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月19日のオースティンの最高気温は？
102〜103°F 49%
100～101°F 31%
104〜105°F 12%
98〜99°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
93°F以下
<1%
94～95°F
1%
96～97°F
2%
98〜99°F
6%
100～101°F
31%
102〜103°F
49%
104〜105°F
12%
106～107°F
2%
108〜109°F
1%
110〜111°F
1%
112°F以上
<1%
102〜103°F 49%
100～101°F 31%
104〜105°F 12%
98〜99°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
93°F以下
$151 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$134 Vol.
1%
96～97°F
$73 Vol.
2%
98〜99°F
$50 Vol.
6%
100～101°F
$190 Vol.
31%
102〜103°F
$251 Vol.
49%
104〜105°F
$85 Vol.
12%
106～107°F
$97 Vol.
2%
108〜109°F
$92 Vol.
1%
110〜111°F
$45 Vol.
1%
112°F以上
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Austin's August 19 high centers on National Weather Service and model consensus for a peak near 101°F amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and cloud cover. This setup favors the closely matched 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting typical mid-August Central Texas climatology where daily maxima often reach 96-100°F but recent dry, stable patterns have sustained readings above 100°F. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum within the 100-103°F range before official verification, while historical analogs show 104°F+ as less common without stronger advection. Updated model runs and any last-hour changes in humidity remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$1,458終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Austin's August 19 high centers on National Weather Service and model consensus for a peak near 101°F amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and cloud cover. This setup favors the closely matched 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting typical mid-August Central Texas climatology where daily maxima often reach 96-100°F but recent dry, stable patterns have sustained readings above 100°F. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum within the 100-103°F range before official verification, while historical analogs show 104°F+ as less common without stronger advection. Updated model runs and any last-hour changes in humidity remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,458終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETTrader sentiment for Austin's August 19 high centers on National Weather Service and model consensus for a peak near 101°F amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and cloud cover. This setup favors the closely matched 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting typical mid-August Central Texas climatology where daily maxima often reach 96-100°F but recent dry, stable patterns have sustained readings above 100°F. Minor forecast divergences in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum within the 100-103°F range before official verification, while historical analogs show 104°F+ as less common without stronger advection. Updated model runs and any last-hour changes in humidity remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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