Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 20, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows modest cooling potential from precipitation, keeping extremes below recent heat-wave peaks while urban heat-island effects and light winds sustain warmth. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, and current conditions align closely with that baseline, explaining the tight market clustering around 30°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in storm tracks before resolution remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の上海の最高気温は?
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 20, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows modest cooling potential from precipitation, keeping extremes below recent heat-wave peaks while urban heat-island effects and light winds sustain warmth. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, and current conditions align closely with that baseline, explaining the tight market clustering around 30°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in storm tracks before resolution remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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