Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の上海の最低気温は？
8月20日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29℃
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
22℃以下
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
1%
24℃
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$8 Vol.
3%
26°C
$64 Vol.
13%
27°C
$301 Vol.
59%
28°C
$52 Vol.
27%
29℃
$117 Vol.
3%
30°C
$49 Vol.
1%
31°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$1,212終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,212終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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