Current ensemble guidance from Roshydromet and European meteorological models points to a Moscow high near 23°C on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the mid-August climatological average of 22–24°C. A weak high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow support modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, while limited insolation and urban heat-island effects constrain further rises. Recent short-range runs show low spread among solutions, though an incoming frontal boundary could introduce cloud cover or light precipitation that trims the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のモスクワの最高気温は?
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
26°C 20%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
10%
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
26°C 20%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from Roshydromet and European meteorological models points to a Moscow high near 23°C on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the mid-August climatological average of 22–24°C. A weak high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow support modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, while limited insolation and urban heat-island effects constrain further rises. Recent short-range runs show low spread among solutions, though an incoming frontal boundary could introduce cloud cover or light precipitation that trims the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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