Forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate daytime highs near 32–33°C for Taipei on August 23 amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture, with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely limiting peak solar heating and surface warming. These conditions align with climatological averages of 31–34°C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing against the potential for brief clearing that could allow brief excursions to 34°C. Short-range updates on instability indices and steering flow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の台北の最高気温は?
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
33°C 22%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
31%
33°C
22%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
33°C 22%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
31%
33°C
22%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate daytime highs near 32–33°C for Taipei on August 23 amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture, with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely limiting peak solar heating and surface warming. These conditions align with climatological averages of 31–34°C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing against the potential for brief clearing that could allow brief excursions to 34°C. Short-range updates on instability indices and steering flow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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