Beijing's late-August climate features typical highs near 31°C driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities around 31–35°C reflect uncertainty in short-range model guidance for August 23. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect add further variability, while climatological baselines indicate only a small chance of extremes above 36°C or below 30°C this late in the season. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and boundary-layer observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の北京の最高気温は？
8月23日の北京の最高気温は？
33°C 32%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
26%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
7%
33°C 32%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
32%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$2 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-August climate features typical highs near 31°C driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities around 31–35°C reflect uncertainty in short-range model guidance for August 23. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect add further variability, while climatological baselines indicate only a small chance of extremes above 36°C or below 30°C this late in the season. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and boundary-layer observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$22終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-August climate features typical highs near 31°C driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities around 31–35°C reflect uncertainty in short-range model guidance for August 23. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect add further variability, while climatological baselines indicate only a small chance of extremes above 36°C or below 30°C this late in the season. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and boundary-layer observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$22終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETBeijing's late-August climate features typical highs near 31°C driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities around 31–35°C reflect uncertainty in short-range model guidance for August 23. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect add further variability, while climatological baselines indicate only a small chance of extremes above 36°C or below 30°C this late in the season. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and boundary-layer observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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