Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の北京の最低気温は?
19°C or below 61%
28°C 50%
20°C 42%
24°C 32%
19°C or below
61%
20°C
42%
21°C
22%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
50%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 61%
28°C 50%
20°C 42%
24°C 32%
19°C or below
61%
20°C
42%
21°C
22%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
50%
29°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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