High atmospheric moisture, with dew points recently in the low 70s°F, has limited overnight radiative cooling and anchored trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern, points to overnight lows near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover near 68–70°F. The close split between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in final model runs and urban heat-island effects, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require unexpected cold-air advection or clearer skies than currently forecast. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
8月20日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
70〜71°F 53%
72〜73°F 26%
74〜75°F 17%
68〜69°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
61°F以下
<1%
62〜63°F
<1%
64～65°F
7%
66〜67°F
6%
68〜69°F
12%
70〜71°F
40%
72〜73°F
26%
74〜75°F
17%
76〜77°F
3%
78〜79°F
1%
華氏80度以上
1%
70〜71°F 53%
72〜73°F 26%
74〜75°F 17%
68〜69°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
61°F以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
62〜63°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
64～65°F
$135 Vol.
7%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68〜69°F
$61 Vol.
12%
70〜71°F
$1 Vol.
40%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74〜75°F
$39 Vol.
17%
76〜77°F
$182 Vol.
3%
78〜79°F
$116 Vol.
1%
華氏80度以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High atmospheric moisture, with dew points recently in the low 70s°F, has limited overnight radiative cooling and anchored trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern, points to overnight lows near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover near 68–70°F. The close split between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in final model runs and urban heat-island effects, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require unexpected cold-air advection or clearer skies than currently forecast. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High atmospheric moisture, with dew points recently in the low 70s°F, has limited overnight radiative cooling and anchored trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern, points to overnight lows near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover near 68–70°F. The close split between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in final model runs and urban heat-island effects, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require unexpected cold-air advection or clearer skies than currently forecast. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETHigh atmospheric moisture, with dew points recently in the low 70s°F, has limited overnight radiative cooling and anchored trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern, points to overnight lows near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover near 68–70°F. The close split between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in final model runs and urban heat-island effects, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require unexpected cold-air advection or clearer skies than currently forecast. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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