Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds around those levels. Persistent high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon climate, combined with expected thunderstorm activity and overcast skies, reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports these values rather than sharper drops. Regional patterns following earlier typhoon influences farther north add variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating the narrow spread between 25–28°C outcomes. Short-range model runs highlight uncertainty in exact overnight wind and moisture profiles that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の深センの最低気温は?
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 27%
28°C 27%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
23%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 27%
28°C 27%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
23%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds around those levels. Persistent high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon climate, combined with expected thunderstorm activity and overcast skies, reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports these values rather than sharper drops. Regional patterns following earlier typhoon influences farther north add variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating the narrow spread between 25–28°C outcomes. Short-range model runs highlight uncertainty in exact overnight wind and moisture profiles that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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