Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のトロントの最高気温は?
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 10%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
38%
26°C
48%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 10%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
38%
26°C
48%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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