Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny Tuesday with a high of 28°C in Toronto, slightly above the mid-August climatological normal of 25–26°C. This baseline, combined with clear skies expected to maximize diurnal heating under light winds and moderate humidity, underpins the market’s close split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak temperature, with any differences likely arising from minor timing of cloud cover or localized lake-breeze effects rather than large-scale atmospheric shifts. Traders appear to weigh the potential for the actual maximum to settle one degree lower if boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のトロントの最高気温は?
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny Tuesday with a high of 28°C in Toronto, slightly above the mid-August climatological normal of 25–26°C. This baseline, combined with clear skies expected to maximize diurnal heating under light winds and moderate humidity, underpins the market’s close split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak temperature, with any differences likely arising from minor timing of cloud cover or localized lake-breeze effects rather than large-scale atmospheric shifts. Traders appear to weigh the potential for the actual maximum to settle one degree lower if boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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