Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
30%
31°C
43%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
30%
31°C
43%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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