National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Dallas will likely see a high in the 104–105°F range on August 18 amid a persistent Texas heat wave driven by strong subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and downslope warming. Recent model runs show surface temperatures supported by dew points in the upper 60s and light southwest winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate extremes. Historical August climatology for DFW places average highs near 96°F, making the current setup an outlier that has concentrated trader consensus on the 104–105°F bin while still allowing modest probability for 106–107°F if peak heating aligns perfectly with forecast timing. Updated guidance from NOAA offices expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月18日のダラスの最高気温は？
104-105°F 50%
102-103°F 26%
106-107°F 22%
108-109°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
97°F or below
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
50%
106-107°F
22%
108-109°F
11%
110-111°F
3%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116°F or higher
1%
104-105°F 50%
102-103°F 26%
106-107°F 22%
108-109°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
97°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$10 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$5 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$215 Vol.
50%
106-107°F
$40 Vol.
22%
108-109°F
$123 Vol.
11%
110-111°F
$77 Vol.
3%
112-113°F
$5 Vol.
2%
114-115°F
$5 Vol.
1%
116°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Dallas will likely see a high in the 104–105°F range on August 18 amid a persistent Texas heat wave driven by strong subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and downslope warming. Recent model runs show surface temperatures supported by dew points in the upper 60s and light southwest winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate extremes. Historical August climatology for DFW places average highs near 96°F, making the current setup an outlier that has concentrated trader consensus on the 104–105°F bin while still allowing modest probability for 106–107°F if peak heating aligns perfectly with forecast timing. Updated guidance from NOAA offices expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$485終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Dallas will likely see a high in the 104–105°F range on August 18 amid a persistent Texas heat wave driven by strong subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and downslope warming. Recent model runs show surface temperatures supported by dew points in the upper 60s and light southwest winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate extremes. Historical August climatology for DFW places average highs near 96°F, making the current setup an outlier that has concentrated trader consensus on the 104–105°F bin while still allowing modest probability for 106–107°F if peak heating aligns perfectly with forecast timing. Updated guidance from NOAA offices expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$485終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNational Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Dallas will likely see a high in the 104–105°F range on August 18 amid a persistent Texas heat wave driven by strong subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and downslope warming. Recent model runs show surface temperatures supported by dew points in the upper 60s and light southwest winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate extremes. Historical August climatology for DFW places average highs near 96°F, making the current setup an outlier that has concentrated trader consensus on the 104–105°F bin while still allowing modest probability for 106–107°F if peak heating aligns perfectly with forecast timing. Updated guidance from NOAA offices expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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