Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 18 high temperature remains closely split between the 80-81°F and 72-73°F bins due to model divergence in the strength of onshore marine flow and the marine layer's depth, which typically caps daytime highs near the Puget Sound. Recent ensemble guidance from NOAA and other agencies shows mid-August climatology favoring 76-79°F under neutral ENSO conditions, yet the ongoing warmer-than-average summer has nudged some runs toward the low 80s if subsidence strengthens. Official short-range forecasts currently cluster near 77°F, leaving resolution thresholds sensitive to the next model update cycle and any revisions in wind or cloud cover predictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月18日のシアトルの最高気温は？
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 25%
80-81°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 25%
80-81°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 18 high temperature remains closely split between the 80-81°F and 72-73°F bins due to model divergence in the strength of onshore marine flow and the marine layer's depth, which typically caps daytime highs near the Puget Sound. Recent ensemble guidance from NOAA and other agencies shows mid-August climatology favoring 76-79°F under neutral ENSO conditions, yet the ongoing warmer-than-average summer has nudged some runs toward the low 80s if subsidence strengthens. Official short-range forecasts currently cluster near 77°F, leaving resolution thresholds sensitive to the next model update cycle and any revisions in wind or cloud cover predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 18 high temperature remains closely split between the 80-81°F and 72-73°F bins due to model divergence in the strength of onshore marine flow and the marine layer's depth, which typically caps daytime highs near the Puget Sound. Recent ensemble guidance from NOAA and other agencies shows mid-August climatology favoring 76-79°F under neutral ENSO conditions, yet the ongoing warmer-than-average summer has nudged some runs toward the low 80s if subsidence strengthens. Official short-range forecasts currently cluster near 77°F, leaving resolution thresholds sensitive to the next model update cycle and any revisions in wind or cloud cover predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETTrader sentiment for Seattle's August 18 high temperature remains closely split between the 80-81°F and 72-73°F bins due to model divergence in the strength of onshore marine flow and the marine layer's depth, which typically caps daytime highs near the Puget Sound. Recent ensemble guidance from NOAA and other agencies shows mid-August climatology favoring 76-79°F under neutral ENSO conditions, yet the ongoing warmer-than-average summer has nudged some runs toward the low 80s if subsidence strengthens. Official short-range forecasts currently cluster near 77°F, leaving resolution thresholds sensitive to the next model update cycle and any revisions in wind or cloud cover predictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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