Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月22日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
28°C or higher 76%
21°C 41%
22°C 41%
24°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
18°C or below
3%
19°C
36%
20°C
38%
21°C
41%
22°C
41%
23°C
49%
24°C
40%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
76%
28°C or higher 76%
21°C 41%
22°C 41%
24°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
18°C or below
$81 Vol.
3%
19°C
$48 Vol.
36%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
41%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$14 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$30 Vol.
7%
27°C
$20 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$101 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
音量
$392終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$392終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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